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February 2026 · Orinda

Orinda Country Club: A Sub-Neighborhood Deep Dive

Twelve months of closed sales in the Country Club, broken down by street, view, and lot type. Where premiums sit and where they're softening.

Closed Sales (TTM)
42
+11% YoY
Median Sale Price
$3.42M
+3.1% YoY
Median $/sqft
$1,058
+1.8% YoY
View-Lot Premium
18%
-4 pts YoY
Flat-Lot Premium
11%
+2 pts YoY
Avg Days on Market
22
+9 days YoY

Orinda Country Club covers roughly 600 homes across the roads circling the club itself — Camino Sobrante, El Toyonal, Tappan Lane, Lombardy Lane, and the smaller cul-de-sacs that peel off each. It is the highest-density cluster of $3M+ sales in all of Lamorinda, and over the twelve months ending January 2026 we closed 42 homes inside the boundary at a median of $3.42M.

The headline number masks real divergence by lot type. View lots — the ones with an unobstructed look at the first, second, or ninth fairway, or the longer ridge views off the El Toyonal side — still command a premium, but the premium has compressed. A year ago a comparable view lot was selling for 22% more than a non-view home on the same block; this winter the premium came in closer to 18%. Buyers are less willing to pay a second-mortgage-sized markup for a view they will only appreciate from one or two rooms.

Flat usable lots, by contrast, are getting more valuable, not less. The Orinda buyer in 2026 is very often a family moving out from San Francisco or Piedmont with young kids, and a flat backyard where a swing set and a soccer net fit matters to them in a way it didn't to the downsizing couple who dominated the 2019 buyer pool. We closed two flat-lot homes on Miner Road this past fall that each drew five offers; a comparable down-slope lot two streets over took 41 days and closed 3% under list.

Street-level: the single highest $/sqft street remains upper Camino Sobrante, where four homes cleared $1,200/sqft in the last twelve months. Lombardy Lane sits in the mid-$1,000s. The cul-de-sacs off Tappan — historically a discount relative to the main drag — have closed the gap, with two 2025 sales inside 4% of Sobrante pricing.

Renovated condition matters more than it did. We tracked ten homes in the Country Club that went to market with original kitchens/baths in 2025; seven of them sat longer than the submarket average and closed under list. The renovation premium on a kitchen-and-primary-bath refresh is running 1.6x to 1.9x cost recovery in this submarket — a number we consistently share with sellers before they decide whether to update.

If you are considering a move within the Country Club — trading up or down the hill — please call us. We keep a private spreadsheet of every sale and a number of homes that are likely to come to market this year but are not yet listed.

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